Backwardation: A Comprehensive Guide to Its Legal Meaning and Impact

Definition & Meaning

Backwardation is a market condition characterized by a downward sloping forward curve. This occurs when the forward price of an asset is less than the spot price, meaning that the cost of carrying the asset exceeds the price difference. In a backwardation scenario, as the expiration date of a futures contract approaches, the price of that contract tends to rise. This phenomenon is often attributed to a higher convenience yield compared to the prevailing risk-free rate. The opposite of backwardation is known as contango, where the expected spot price at maturity is lower than the forward price.

Table of content

Real-world examples

Here are a couple of examples of abatement:

Example 1: A trader notices that the spot price of oil is $70 per barrel, while the futures price for delivery in three months is $65 per barrel. This indicates backwardation, as the futures price is lower than the current market price.

Example 2: A farmer sells a futures contract for corn at a price that is lower than the current spot price due to a predicted short-term supply shortage, leading to backwardation in the corn market. (hypothetical example)

Comparison with related terms

Term Definition Key Difference
Contango A market condition where the forward price is higher than the spot price. Backwardation involves a lower forward price compared to the spot price.
Spot Price The current market price at which an asset can be bought or sold. Backwardation specifically refers to the relationship between forward and spot prices.

What to do if this term applies to you

If you are involved in trading futures contracts and encounter backwardation, consider reviewing your investment strategy. You may want to consult with a financial advisor or legal professional to understand the implications for your investments. Additionally, US Legal Forms offers templates that can help you draft necessary agreements or contracts related to your trading activities.

Quick facts

  • Typical market condition: Downward sloping forward curve.
  • Common assets: Commodities like oil, corn, and metals.
  • Key factor: Convenience yield exceeds risk-free rate.

Key takeaways

Frequently asked questions

Backwardation refers to a situation where the futures price of an asset is lower than its current spot price, often due to high demand for immediate delivery.