Dow Theory: A Comprehensive Guide to Market Trend Analysis

Definition & Meaning

Dow Theory is a method used to analyze and predict market trends, specifically whether the market is experiencing a bull (upward) or bear (downward) phase. This theory is based on the performance of the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the average prices of transportation stocks. According to Dow Theory, a market is considered to be in an upward trend if one of these averages surpasses a previous significant high, and this movement is supported by a similar increase in the other average. Conversely, if both averages fall below previous significant lows, it indicates a downward trend.

Table of content

Real-world examples

Here are a couple of examples of abatement:

Example 1: If the Dow Jones Industrial Average rises above a previous high of 30,000 points and the transportation average also increases, this could signal a bull market. Investors might decide to buy stocks based on this trend.

Example 2: If both averages drop below their previous lows, indicating a bearish trend, investors may choose to sell their holdings to avoid losses. (hypothetical example)

Comparison with related terms

Term Description Key Differences
Dow Theory A method for analyzing market trends based on stock averages. Focuses specifically on the Dow Jones and transportation averages.
Technical Analysis A broader approach that uses various indicators to predict market movements. Includes a wider range of data and indicators beyond just averages.

What to do if this term applies to you

If you are considering investments based on market trends, familiarize yourself with Dow Theory and its implications. You can utilize legal forms from US Legal Forms to assist with any necessary documentation related to your investments. If your situation is complex or involves significant financial decisions, consulting a legal professional is advisable.

Quick facts

  • Typical use: Analyzing market trends.
  • Primary focus: Dow Jones Industrial Average and transportation averages.
  • Market phases: Bull and bear trends.

Key takeaways

Frequently asked questions

Dow Theory is an analysis method used to predict market trends based on the performance of stock averages.